2026 · Week 4
Cute BALSAGNA vs Mr McGibblets
Playoff odds · simulated
What's at stake
| Team | Now | With a win | With a loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cute BALSAGNA | 11% | 15% | 6% | 9 pts |
| Mr McGibblets | 56% | 63% | 46% | 18 pts |
Mr McGibblets has more riding on this one: a 18-point swing in playoff odds.
This season before week 4
Tale of the tape
| Cute BALSAGNA | Mr McGibblets | |
|---|---|---|
| 95.7 | Points per game | 112.0 |
| 125.0 | Season high | 116.0 |
| 76.0 | Season low | 107.0 |
| 86.0 · 125.0 · 76.0 | Last 3 | 107.0 · 116.0 · 113.0 |
| 106.7 | Expected score | 113.7 |
Expected score = season average pulled toward the league average (114.9) until there are enough games to trust it.
To win
What it takes
- Cute BALSAGNA probably needs 113.7+, which it has scored in 1 of 3 games this season.
- Mr McGibblets probably needs 106.7+, which it has scored in 3 of 3 games this season.
All-time series
Head to head
Regular season10–5Cute BALSAGNA's record
Playoffs0–0meetings since 2010
Average score118.9–108.3regular season
| When | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 W5 | Mr McGibblets | 107.0–141.0 |
| 2024 W8 | Mr McGibblets | 113.0–116.0 |
| 2023 W14 | Cute BALSAGNA | 117.0–106.0 |
| 2023 W3 | Mr McGibblets | 122.0–133.0 |
| 2022 W13 | Cute BALSAGNA | 143.0–91.0 |
| 2022 W3 | Cute BALSAGNA | 86.0–81.0 |
Starters · ESPN projections
Players to watch
Cute BALSAGNA 112.9
- RBJonathan TaylorIND19.6
- QBPatrick MahomesKC17.5
- WRParker WashingtonJAX15.1
- TEIsaiah LikelyNYG11.7
- WRLuther Burden IIICHI11.2
- WREmeka EgbukaTB10.6
- RBOmarion HamptonLAC9.8
- D/STChiefs D/STKC8.9
- KTrey SmackGB8.4
Mr McGibblets 120.5
- QBBrock PurdySF18.8
- WRCeeDee LambDAL16.3
- RBCam SkatteboNYG15.9
- RBSaquon BarkleyPHI15.3
- RBDavid MontgomeryHOU13.0
- WRMike EvansSF12.5
- TEDalton KincaidBUF10.7
- KTyler LoopBAL9.6
- D/STBengals D/STCIN8.4