2026 · Week 4
The Beefalo's vs Keystone St. Of Mind
Playoff odds · simulated
What's at stake
| Team | Now | With a win | With a loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Beefalo's | 46% | 57% | 38% | 19 pts |
| Keystone St. Of Mind | 62% | 72% | 53% | 18 pts |
The Beefalo's has more riding on this one: a 19-point swing in playoff odds.
This season before week 4
Tale of the tape
| The Beefalo's | Keystone St. Of Mind | |
|---|---|---|
| 105.0 | Points per game | 117.7 |
| 130.0 | Season high | 125.0 |
| 89.0 | Season low | 104.0 |
| 130.0 · 89.0 · 96.0 | Last 3 | 125.0 · 104.0 · 124.0 |
| 110.7 | Expected score | 116.1 |
Expected score = season average pulled toward the league average (114.9) until there are enough games to trust it.
To win
What it takes
- The Beefalo's probably needs 116.1+, which it has scored in 1 of 3 games this season.
- Keystone St. Of Mind probably needs 110.7+, which it has scored in 2 of 3 games this season.
All-time series
Head to head
Regular season7–3The Beefalo's 's record
Playoffs1–2meetings since 2009
Average score124.1–102.1regular season
| When | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 W5 | The Beefalo's | 116.0–79.0 |
| 2024 W4 | The Beefalo's | 141.0–76.0 |
| 2023 W15 playoffs | Keystone St. Of Mind | 96.0–135.0 |
| 2023 W8 | The Beefalo's | 126.0–76.0 |
| 2022 W10 | Keystone St. Of Mind | 92.0–138.0 |
| 2021 W14 playoffs | The Beefalo's | 211.0–187.0 |
Starters · ESPN projections
Players to watch
The Beefalo's 106.0
- RBJames Cook IIIBUF16.8
- QBDak PrescottDAL16.4
- RBJavonte WilliamsDAL13.6
- WRTee HigginsCIN13.3
- WRDevaughn VeleNO10.2
- KKa'imi FairbairnHOU10.2
- D/STSeahawks D/STSEA10.0
- WRJameson WilliamsDET9.3
- TEOronde GadsdenLAC6.1
Keystone St. Of Mind 106.2
- RBBijan RobinsonATL20.1
- RBChuba HubbardCAR16.3
- WRRashee RiceKC14.4
- TETyler WarrenIND12.9
- QBJustin HerbertLAC12.2
- WRJaylen WaddleDEN11.9
- D/STBears D/STCHI9.3
- KHarrison ButkerKC9.1
- RBBreece HallNYJ0.0