2026 · Week 4
Keystone St. Of Mind vs The Beefalo's
Playoff odds · simulated
What's at stake
| Team | Now | With a win | With a loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone St. Of Mind | 62% | 72% | 53% | 18 pts |
| The Beefalo's | 46% | 57% | 38% | 19 pts |
The Beefalo's has more riding on this one: a 19-point swing in playoff odds.
This season before week 4
Tale of the tape
| Keystone St. Of Mind | The Beefalo's | |
|---|---|---|
| 117.7 | Points per game | 105.0 |
| 125.0 | Season high | 130.0 |
| 104.0 | Season low | 89.0 |
| 125.0 · 104.0 · 124.0 | Last 3 | 130.0 · 89.0 · 96.0 |
| 116.1 | Expected score | 110.7 |
Expected score = season average pulled toward the league average (114.9) until there are enough games to trust it.
To win
What it takes
- Keystone St. Of Mind probably needs 110.7+, which it has scored in 2 of 3 games this season.
- The Beefalo's probably needs 116.1+, which it has scored in 1 of 3 games this season.
All-time series
Head to head
Regular season3–7Keystone St. Of Mind 's record
Playoffs2–1meetings since 2009
Average score102.1–124.1regular season
| When | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 W5 | The Beefalo's | 79.0–116.0 |
| 2024 W4 | The Beefalo's | 76.0–141.0 |
| 2023 W15 playoffs | Keystone St. Of Mind | 135.0–96.0 |
| 2023 W8 | The Beefalo's | 76.0–126.0 |
| 2022 W10 | Keystone St. Of Mind | 138.0–92.0 |
| 2021 W14 playoffs | The Beefalo's | 187.0–211.0 |
Starters · ESPN projections
Players to watch
Keystone St. Of Mind 106.2
- RBBijan RobinsonATL20.1
- RBChuba HubbardCAR16.3
- WRRashee RiceKC14.4
- TETyler WarrenIND12.9
- QBJustin HerbertLAC12.2
- WRJaylen WaddleDEN11.9
- D/STBears D/STCHI9.3
- KHarrison ButkerKC9.1
- RBBreece HallNYJ0.0
The Beefalo's 106.0
- RBJames Cook IIIBUF16.8
- QBDak PrescottDAL16.4
- RBJavonte WilliamsDAL13.6
- WRTee HigginsCIN13.3
- WRDevaughn VeleNO10.2
- KKa'imi FairbairnHOU10.2
- D/STSeahawks D/STSEA10.0
- WRJameson WilliamsDET9.3
- TEOronde GadsdenLAC6.1